7 Jul · 13:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
IT
🇨🇿Ivo Taichman
ELO 1479
FormWWLLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Koral
MK
🇨🇿Michal Koral
ELO 1488
FormLLWLW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Koral
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+9
H2H6-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.