7 Jul · 12:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MK
🇨🇿Michal Koral
ELO 1488
FormLLWLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Hrabec
JH
🇨🇿Jan Hrabec
ELO 1543
FormWWWWW
47%
53%
Fair odds · Hrabec
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+55
H2H6-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.