7 Jul · 09:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VD
🇨🇿Vaclav Dolezal
ELO 1475
FormWLLLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Kudelka
AK
🇨🇿Adam Kudelka
ELO 1616
FormWWWWW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Kudelka
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 75% · 1.33· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+141
H2H4-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+141)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-0)