7 Jul · 10:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RH
🇨🇿Rotislav Hasmanda
ELO 1506
FormLLWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Hasmanda
VD
🇨🇿Vaclav Dolezal
ELO 1475
FormWLLLL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Hasmanda
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+31
H2H30-15
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.