7 Jul · 10:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JH
🇨🇿Jan Hrabec
ELO 1543
FormWWWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Hrabec
TM
🇨🇿Tomas Milkov
ELO 1489
FormLWWLL
53%
47%
Fair odds · Hrabec
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+54
H2H7-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.