7 Jul · 10:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MK
🇨🇿Michal Koral
ELO 1488
FormLLWLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Langer
DL
🇨🇿Daniel Langer
ELO 1625
FormWWWWW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Langer
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+137
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+137)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)