7 Jul · 17:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MB
🇨🇿Martin Biolek
ELO 1679
FormLLLWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Dousek
TD
🇨🇿Tomas Dousek
ELO 1681
FormWLLWW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Dousek
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+2
H2H3-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.