7 Jul · 16:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
FW
🇨🇿Filip Wolf
ELO 1637
FormLWLWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Gireth
PG
🇨🇿Pavel Gireth
ELO 1744
FormLWWLW
44%
56%
Fair odds · Gireth
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+107
H2H1-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+107)