7 Jul · 09:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JP
🇨🇿Jiri Plachy
ELO 1496
FormLLLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Plachy
JS
🇨🇿Jakub Stolfa
ELO 1452
FormWWLLW
52%
48%
🌟Plachy rarely covers set handicap as favourite 25% (12)
Fair odds · Plachy
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+44
H2H8-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.