7 Jul · 09:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MK
🇨🇿Michal Koral
ELO 1488
FormLLWLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Milkov
TM
🇨🇿Tomas Milkov
ELO 1489
FormLWWLL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Milkov
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+1
H2H1-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.