7 Jul · 14:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JP
🇨🇿Jiri Plachy
ELO 1496
FormLLLWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Plachy
DP
🇨🇿Dmitro Parhomenko
ELO 1444
FormLWWLL
53%
47%
🌟Plachy rarely covers set handicap as favourite 25% (12)
Fair odds · Plachy
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+52
H2H42-33
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.