7 Jul · 21:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OS
🇨🇿Ondrej Svacha
ELO 1601
FormLWWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Zahradnik
TZ
🇨🇿Tomas Zahradnik
ELO 1640
FormWWWWW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Zahradnik
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+39
H2H4-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.