7 Jul · 22:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DO
🇨🇿Dominik Oborny
ELO 1488
FormLLWLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Blejchar
MB
🇨🇿Marek Blejchar
ELO 1560
FormWWLLW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Blejchar
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 35% · 2.82· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+72
H2H7-19
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.