8 Jul · 01:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MS
🇨🇿Martin Stefek
ELO 1377
FormLLLWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Ulrych
MU
🇨🇿Martin Ulrych
ELO 1524
FormWLLWW
42%
58%
🌟Stefek goes over total as underdog 69% (13)
Fair odds · Ulrych
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
19%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+147
H2H2-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+147)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)