7 Jul · 18:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
FW
🇨🇿Filip Wolf
ELO 1637
FormLWLWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Koubek
VK
🇨🇿Vojtech Koubek
ELO 1701
FormLWWLL
47%
53%
Fair odds · Koubek
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+64
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.