7 Jul · 21:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JP
🇨🇿Jiri Plachy
ELO 1496
FormLLLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Plachy
LK
🇨🇿Lukas Krok
ELO 1471
FormWLWLW
51%
49%
🌟Plachy rarely covers set handicap as favourite 25% (12)
Fair odds · Plachy
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+25
H2H5-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.