8 Jul · 01:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
L1
🇨🇿Ladislav Havel 1956
ELO 1382
FormWWWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Drazan
PD
🇨🇿Pavel Drazan
ELO 1393
FormLWLLW
49%
51%
Fair odds · Drazan
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+11
H2H2-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.