8 Jul · 01:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JP
🇨🇿Jan Potensky
ELO 1377
FormLLWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Mazanek
SM
🇨🇿Stanislav Mazanek
ELO 1424
FormWLLWL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Mazanek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 72% · 1.38· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~72 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+47
H2H30-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.