8 Jul · 02:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
L1
🇨🇿Ladislav Havel 1956
ELO 1382
FormWWWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Mazanek
SM
🇨🇿Stanislav Mazanek
ELO 1424
FormWLLWL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Mazanek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 22% · 4.61· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+42
H2H0-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.