7 Jul · 18:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OK
🇨🇿Oleksandr Kolisnyk
ELO 1593
FormWLLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kolisnyk
JR
🇨🇿Jiri Ruzicka
ELO 1579
FormLWWLL
51%
49%
🌟Ruzicka rarely covers set handicap as underdog 36% (14)
Fair odds · Kolisnyk
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+14
H2H40-56
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.