7 Jul · 22:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
TA
🇨🇿Tomas Andrle
ELO 1452
FormWLLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Steffan
JS
🇨🇿Jan Steffan
ELO 1523
FormLLLLW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Steffan
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+71
H2H39-26
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.