8 Jul · 02:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MT
🇨🇿Mihail Trinta
ELO 1443
FormWLWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Ulrych
MU
🇨🇿Martin Ulrych
ELO 1524
FormWLLWW
46%
54%
🌟Trinta covers set handicap as underdog 67% (12)
Fair odds · Ulrych
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 42% · 2.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+81
H2H1-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.