7 Jul · 21:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MV
🇨🇿Marek Volny
ELO 1534
FormWWLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Blejchar
MB
🇨🇿Marek Blejchar
ELO 1560
FormWWLLW
49%
51%
Fair odds · Blejchar
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 35% · 2.82· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+26
H2H2-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.