7 Jul · 17:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PD
🇨🇿Pavel Drazan
ELO 1393
FormLWLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Franc
PF
🇨🇿Petr Franc
ELO 1437
FormWLLWW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Franc
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+44
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.