7 Jul · 17:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PG
🇨🇿Pavel Gireth
ELO 1744
FormLWWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Gireth
VK
🇨🇿Vojtech Koubek
ELO 1701
FormLWWLL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Gireth
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+43
H2H5-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.