7 Jul · 22:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OS
🇨🇿Ondrej Svacha
ELO 1601
FormLWWLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.892005
V2
🇨🇿Vaclav Nohejl 2005
ELO 1658
FormWLWWW
47%
53%
Fair odds · 2005
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+57
H2H4-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.