8 Jul · 01:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DP
🇨🇿Dmitro Parhomenko
ELO 1444
FormLWWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Prokupek
JP
🇨🇿Jaroslav Prokupek
ELO 1461
FormWLWLW
49%
51%
Fair odds · Prokupek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+17
H2H22-17
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.