7 Jul · 09:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AS
🇨🇿Antonin Schneeberger
ELO 1436
FormLWLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Tobola
DT
🇨🇿Daniel Tobola
ELO 1506
FormWLLWL
46%
54%
Fair odds · Tobola
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+70
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.