7 Jul · 10:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DT
🇨🇿Daniel Tobola
ELO 1506
FormWLLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Tobola
ZZ
🇨🇿Zbynek Zientek
ELO 1478
FormLWLLL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Tobola
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+28
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.