8 Jul · 10:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VK
🇨🇿Vladimir Kubat
ELO 1294
FormWWLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Koch
JK
🇨🇿Jiri Koch
ELO 1310
FormWWWLL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Koch
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 34% · 2.96· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+16
H2H0-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.