8 Jul · 09:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LM
🇨🇿Ludek Madle
ELO 1384
FormLLWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Kulhanek
PK
🇨🇿Pavel Kulhanek
ELO 1421
FormWWWLL
48%
52%
🌟Madle stays under total as underdog 67% (12)
Fair odds · Kulhanek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~79 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+37
H2H9-19
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.