8 Jul · 10:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MC
🇨🇿Michal Chalupa
ELO 1520
FormWLLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Kasnik
SK
🇨🇿Sebastian Kasnik
ELO 1526
FormWLWWL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Kasnik
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+6
H2H6-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.