8 Jul · 09:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JL
🇨🇿Jiri Louda
ELO 1590
FormWLWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Sychra
MS
🇨🇿Martin Sychra
ELO 1626
FormWWWWW
48%
52%
🌟Sychra rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (22)
Fair odds · Sychra
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+36
H2H16-20
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.