8 Jul · 10:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MR
🇨🇿Michal Regner
ELO 1568
FormLWLLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Sychra
MS
🇨🇿Martin Sychra
ELO 1626
FormWWWWW
47%
53%
🌟Sychra rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (22)
Fair odds · Sychra
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+58
H2H29-30
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.