8 Jul · 14:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RH
🇨🇿Rotislav Hasmanda
ELO 1513
FormWWLWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Steffan
JS
🇨🇿Jan Steffan
ELO 1521
FormLLLLL
50%
50%
🌟Hasmanda covers set handicap as underdog 76% (17)
Fair odds · Steffan
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+8
H2H43-20
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.