8 Jul · 10:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JL
🇨🇿Jiri Louda
ELO 1590
FormWLWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Louda
PS
🇨🇿Petr Saleny
ELO 1554
FormLWLLL
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Saleny🌟Louda rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (35)
Fair odds · Louda
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+36
H2H13-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.