8 Jul · 18:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JP
🇨🇿Jiri Pozarsky
ELO 1511
FormWWLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Just
FJ
🇨🇿Frantisek Just
ELO 1548
FormLLLWW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Just
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 39% · 2.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+37
H2H9-16
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.