8 Jul · 21:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VA
🇨🇿Vladimir Adamczyk
ELO 1555
FormLLLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Adamczyk
AW
🇨🇿Adrian Walek
ELO 1524
FormLLWLW
52%
48%
🌟Walek covers set handicap as underdog 67% (21)
Fair odds · Adamczyk
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+31
H2H2-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.