8 Jul · 21:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RV
🇨🇿Radomir Vavrecka
ELO 1531
FormWLLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Byrtus
SB
🇨🇿Samuel Byrtus
ELO 1562
FormLWLLW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Byrtus
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+31
H2H8-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.