8 Jul · 16:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MK
🇨🇿Michal Kratochvil
ELO 1556
FormLWLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Burdik
VB
🇨🇿Vitezslav Burdik
ELO 1571
FormLWLWL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Burdik
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+15
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.