8 Jul · 17:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
FJ
🇨🇿Frantisek Just
ELO 1548
FormLLLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Tuma
DT
🇨🇿Daniel Tuma
ELO 1566
FormLWWLL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Tuma
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+18
H2H15-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.