8 Jul · 18:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VB
🇨🇿Vitezslav Burdik
ELO 1571
FormLWLWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Burdik
DS
🇨🇿David Szotek
ELO 1509
FormWWLWL
53%
47%
Fair odds · Burdik
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+62
H2H5-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.