8 Jul · 09:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JK
🇨🇿Jiri Koch
ELO 1310
FormWWWLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Petr
PP
🇨🇿Pavel Petr
ELO 1415
FormLWLLW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Petr
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+105
H2H11-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+105)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-10)