8 Jul · 17:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VB
🇨🇿Vitezslav Burdik
ELO 1571
FormLWLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Burdik
JP
🇨🇿Jakub Pilch
ELO 1544
FormWLWWL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Burdik
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 34% · 2.96· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+27
H2H1-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.