8 Jul · 18:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DT
🇨🇿Daniel Tuma
ELO 1566
FormLWWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Tuma
MV
🇨🇿Matej Volf
ELO 1525
FormLWWLW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Tuma
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+41
H2H25-18
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.