8 Jul · 12:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MS
🇨🇿Martin Sychra
ELO 1626
FormWWWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Sychra
PS
🇨🇿Petr Saleny
ELO 1554
FormLWLLL
54%
46%
🔥 Underdog lean · Saleny🌟Sychra rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (22)
Fair odds · Sychra
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+72
H2H6-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.