8 Jul · 18:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MK
🇨🇿Michal Kratochvil
ELO 1556
FormLWLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kratochvil
JP
🇨🇿Jakub Pilch
ELO 1544
FormWLWWL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Kratochvil
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~74 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+12
H2H8-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.