8 Jul · 08:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PP
🇨🇿Pavel Potmesil
ELO 1384
FormLLLWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Potmesil
JK
🇨🇿Jiri Koch
ELO 1310
FormWWWLL
54%
46%
Fair odds · Potmesil
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+74
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.