8 Jul · 09:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DU
🇨🇿Daniel Unzeitig
ELO 1466
FormLLWLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Kasnik
SK
🇨🇿Sebastian Kasnik
ELO 1526
FormWLWWL
47%
53%
Fair odds · Kasnik
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+60
H2H2-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.