8 Jul · 14:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
SK
🇨🇿Sebastian Kasnik
ELO 1526
FormWLWWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Kasnik
MC
🇨🇿Michal Chalupa
ELO 1520
FormWLLLW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Kasnik
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+6
H2H6-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.